The latest air cargo demand and pricing data provide further evidence of stabilization following the declines seen throughout much of last year and the annual turbulence around the Lunar New Year, according to the latest report from WorldACD.
In a release this week, the air cargo market data provider said figures for week 11 (March 13 to 19) show a clear stabilization in both worldwide tonnages as well as the global average rate, compared with the previous week and following several weeks of relative stability since mid-February, citing figures from WorldACD Market Data.
“Comparing weeks 10 and 11 with the preceding two weeks (2Wo2W), overall tonnages are flat versus their combined total in weeks 8 and 9, accompanied by a +2% increase in capacity, whereas average worldwide rates slightly declined by -1%,” it said.
At a regional level, WorldACD noted that on a 2Wo2W basis, there are still signs of a relatively robust (+5%) recovery in air cargo tonnages ex-Asia Pacific, driven by growth in flows to Middle East & South Asia (+9%), North America (+6%), Europe (+4%) and intra-Asia Pacific (+3%), respectively.
It said the most-notable decreases were recorded ex-Middle East & South Asia to Asia Pacific (-13%), and ex-Central & South America to Europe (-11%).
“While volumes have been flattening in the last two weeks, on the pricing side average rates have continued to show a negative trend on a 2Wo2W basis from all regions except Asia Pacific (+1%), particularly ex-Middle East & South Asia (-5%), ex-Europe (-3%) and ex-Central & South America (-3%),” the air cargo market data provider added.
Year-on-year perspective
WorldACD said comparing the overall global market with this time last year, chargeable weight in weeks 10 and 11 was down -9% compared with the equivalent period last year.
The notable percentage decreases in tonnages year-on-year were ex-North America (-19%), ex-Middle East & South Asia (-9%). Also ex-Asia Pacific, the trend compared to last year was negative (-8%), despite the recent positive developments.
“Overall capacity has jumped by +14% compared with the previous year, with double-digit percentage increases from all regions. Most-notable increases were ex-Africa (+23%), ex-Asia Pacific (+17%) and ex-Europe (+16%),” the air cargo market data provider said, citing the more than 400,000 weekly transactions covered by WorldACD’s data.
It added that worldwide rates are currently -32% below their levels this time last year, at an average of US$2.73 per kilo in week 11, despite the effects of higher fuel surcharges, but they remain significantly above pre-Covid levels.
